Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

All of standalone LES activation ever in the history of human spaceflight had been successful in saving all occupants' lives.

Space Shuttle failed twice on the other hand, each time killing all aboard, and in neither cases of it its integral abort systems/abort modes did help at all.

So in theory the lack of capsule-only LES do not necessarily mean safer rocket, in the history and in the statistics it does.



Statistics say you shouldn’t call your reusable ship a word beginning with ‘C’

In 1963 a LES killed someone, in 1983 it saved lives.


> In 1963 a LES killed someone

Which manned abort in 1963 is that specifically? Why are you trying to skew discussion into some direction?

Note: LES stands for Launch Escape System, usually a small solid rocket that activates in case of a failure during ascent to take the manned capsule away from exploding rocket under it, perhaps equivalent to airbags in a car.


IIRC this is the case when Soyuz LES activated on the pad before an unmanned test flight, killing some of the ground crew.


So not in flight. Not relevant.

People gets hurt by airbags all the time trying to service them. That doesn’t tell if it’s worth having them in actual situations they’re designed for, nor whether the situations are worth preparing for.


It is relevant. If (giving an extreme example to make the point), statistically two humans were killed servicing airbags for every life saved by airbags, cars wouldn’t have airbags (with possible exceptions for cars of the super rich and super important such as the POTUS)

Also, an escape system adds weight to a rocket. That weight could be used for other stuff that makes the rest of the system more reliable (slightly stronger fuel tanks, redundant pumps, whatever). Designing the escape system also takes resources away that could be used to improve the safety of the primary system.

For rockets, it’s not easy to decide what’s the best choice; we launch too few of them, and the ones we launch change too often to gather reliable statistics. Getting real-world data on the reliability of escape systems definitely is hard, as it requires numerous rocket failures or elaborate test setups (a full test must include high speed and an explosion that may throw material through the engine of the escape capsule)


> All of standalone LES activation ever in the history of human spaceflight had been successful in saving all occupants' lives.

> Space Shuttle failed twice on the other hand, each time killing all aboard, and in neither cases of it its integral abort systems/abort modes did help at all.

> So in theory the lack of capsule-only LES do not necessarily mean safer rocket, in the history and in the statistics it does.

Is this supposed to be a recursion joke? Sorry if I'm not getting it.




Consider applying for YC's Summer 2026 batch! Applications are open till May 4

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: