Who are these "experts" and what did they actually say? I feel like whenever I see these arguments its somebody making a straw man.
Although I mean trivially a non-rebated tax will cause inflation because it increases prices ... and recessions are called by NBER after you leave one so a year is way to little time.
Planes have actually been falling out of the sky. I'm not sure its from Social Security cuts but I mean if your stance is "planes falling out of sky = issue with social security cuts" then uh your evidence is in [1].
The job market is at a stand still[0], inflation is still high, and Gdp remained steady under Trumps first term (bad).[1] Remember when Trump said tariffs were going to be paid by foreign countries, well they aren’t because that’s not how it works. 90%+ of tariffs have been paid for by citizens of the United States.[2]
You should know that Gdp won’t be fully calculated until the end of the term. So your numbers of 4% (expected, now who’s making up numbers). As well as the Gdp hasnt grown in meaningful areas but AI. Something not expected to last as few people use it.
Please with all your wisdom of how this works and all your short term evidence provide the basic proof anything you’re saying is true.
If you start quoting government statistics to defend a point, remember that the people that reported any numbers that contradicted the regime, were fired. So those are no longer trusted.
You're living in a bubble.
90% of Trump’s tariffs are paid for by American consumers and companies
